Football Fantasy

Fantasy Football News and Stuff

Archive for the ‘Uncategorized’ Category

49ers Starting QB

Posted by zewkey on August 21, 2008

Tonight’s Bears v 49ers game will most likely determine who starts at QB for the Niners.  With fantasy drafts approaching is this a must see game?  Surely, there are better options available than whoever wins the job, so who really cares?

Mike Martz now controls the San Fran offense and he has delivered plenty of great fantasy season in the past.  So you should take a look at the least.  Here’s why.  San Fransisco is terrible, and to make matters worse they seem to have given up on their “franchise” QB Alex Smith.  Shaun Hill and JT O’Sullivan are not the answer, it says a lot that either one is considered a viable option over Smith.   I can’t see anything positive coming out of it… except, possibly, some value at QB in the late rounds.

San Fran is going to be behind a lot this year, Martz offense is particularly good at finding open receivers underneath the pass coverage.  With opponents protecting leads and the Niners passing to catch up, there will be plenty of short passes available to whoever is throwing the ball.    If your league is heavy in passing yards the SF QB should be a pretty good option.  Certainly in the top half of the league.  Im not saying JT O’Sullivan is going to win your league for you, just that I wouldn’t be afraid to have the SF QB on my roster as my main backup.

Advertisements

Posted in Uncategorized | Tagged: , | Leave a Comment »

Thursday Night ESPN Game Betting Stats

Posted by zewkey on September 27, 2007

In their last 9 non-conference games, Boise State covered the UNDER 8 times. Meanwhile, the UNDER is 22-9-1 in Southern Miss’ last 32 non-conference games. Expect a ton of rushing as Southern Miss averages 182 yards per game on the ground, while Boise State averages 198.7. Moreover, at home on the ‘smurf turf’, Boise State surrenders just 54.5 rushing yards per game. With these trends and stats in mind, it is amazing that fewer than 10% of the early bettors are backing the UNDER (49.5).

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a Comment »

Running Back Round-Up

Posted by zewkey on August 15, 2007

By Rob Griesemer, Fantasy Football Cafe Regular

So here we are in the middle of May, with the NFL off-season in full gear. The draft is over, teams are beginning their mandatory workouts, and can you believe it, TO was actually seen working out with Dallas last week! Even for football freaks like me it’s tough to keep up with all of the off-season moves, trades, and free agent acquisitions. David Carr’s now in Carolina, Randy Moss is in New England, and some teams have new big name rookies such as Jamarcus Russell in Oakland and Georgia Tech superstar Calvin Johnson in Detroit. All of these situations and many more will impact fantasy football next year. It’s very important to keep an eye on as many of these moves as you can in order to be fully prepared come the day of your fantasy draft.

Exclusive Expert Analysis at Yahoo! Fantasy Football

It’s essential to keep track of the key running back trades and moves that have occured so far this off-season and how they will affect the fantasy scene. The running back position is usually the foundation of a good fantasy team, so naturally this position is where many people focus a lot of analysis each year.

One of the biggest running back moves this off-season has been Denver’s acquisition of running back Travis Henry, formerly of the Tennessee Titans. Denver has been known in recent years as one of the most solid running teams in football. Anyone that runs for the Broncos is almost guaranteed to be a high impact fantasy player, and Travis Henry will be no exception. The only worry I have here is Mike Shanahan, the head coach of the Broncos. He seems to make it his mission to give fantasy owners headaches. He likes using multiple backs in his offensive schemes. Last season he drove fantasy owners nuts with Mike Bell and Tatum Bell, many times not even declaring a starter until gametime. Henry is probably going to be a late first round selection in twelve team leagues this year with good reason. The chances of him having at the very least a 1,000 yard season are almost 100% barring injury. He was at best a backup player on your fantasy roster last year playing with the Titans, but will be a hot commodity this year come fantasy draft day.

The Detroit Lions traded away star cornerback Dre’ Bly to the Broncos for running back Tatum Bell, another player, and a draft pick. For the past two years everyone has been waiting for Bell to explode in Denver, But as soon as he seemed to gain momentum, he would lose it. He would have a couple of amazing games, followed by some horrific ones. He would have a crazy eight yards per carry average with his first ten carries, than later in the game he would struggle for two yards per carry. Nobody knew what to expect from this guy and now he’s left Denver for Detroit. I don’t know about you, but I wouldn’t be holding my breath waiting for a career revitalization in Matt Millen land. They brought in wide receiver Calvin Johnson in the draft and still have running back Kevin Jones. Jones might miss significant time in 2007 due to a serious foot injury suffered late last season, but there have been conflicting reports regarding how much time he will or won’t miss over the past few months. I’ve heard he will miss almost all season from one article, only to read another that said he could be good to go at the start of the season. I think Tatum Bell is more insurance for Detroit than legit long-term runner. He’s worth a selection because he has the talent and ability, but he hasn’t shown me enough to take him with anything other than a mid-round pick on draft day. Also, keep an eye on T.J Duckett. Detroit scooped up this valuable TD-stealing vulture and that could greatly decrease Tatum Bell’s value depending on how often and how much Duckett gets in there. If you need a home run hitter, Tatum Bell is your guy, but be prepared to roll the dice almost every time you start him because the running back situation in Detroit will likely be cloudy come September. Even a Jedi master would have problems predicting this one.

“Hard to see the future is, yes, mmmmmm.” – Yoda

Tiki Barber decided to retire after an amazing career in New York, and for some reason the coaching staff doesn’t seem to have that much faith in Brandon Jacobs. They don’t appear convinced that he can carry the entire load alone. Perhaps his large frame and upright running style worries the Giants’ staff. In any event they pursued and acquired former Denver, and more recently Cleveland, running back Reuben Droughns. Droughns was primed for a decent season in Cleveland last year, and was being taken as high as the late second round in some fantasy leagues, but when All-Pro center LeCharles Bentley was lost for the season in a preseason practice it greatly affected Cleveland’s running attack in a negative way. Now Droughns is in the Big Blue and will probably share carries in a dual running attack with Jacobs. It’s hard to say who will get the most carries in any given game, but I’d have to say Jacobs may get more action because he’s adept at catching passes and has a big body for blocking on passing downs. I see Droughns as a relief guy for Jacobs, coming in every other series or so for some action, but not enough action for me to warrant any serious thought on him unless the Giants deal Jacobs or he gets hurt. Droughns should be a nice backup and potentially a decent starter if Jacobs goes down with injury.

With Reuben Droughns leaving Cleveland, the Browns filled their need at running back by acquiring former Baltimore Ravens running back Jamal Lewis. I still remember that day in 2003, in week two, when Jamal ran wild for 295 yards and three TDs, to this day the most rushing yards in any single NFL game. Who was it against? None other than the Cleveland Browns! Kind of ironic that he goes to Cleveland, a division rival of the Ravens. Lewis has not been running with the same passion he seemed to run with in 2003, his 2,000 yard season. The past couple of years he has had contract woes with the Ravens, and some have said he might not have been giving his all. It’s possible his best days could be behind him, but a change of scenery might have been just what he needed. Cleveland also has the potential to be a very strong team this year and beyond with the additions they’ve made. However, I wouldn’t go all in with Lewis. In 2003 he was pocket aces, this year, I’d say he’s at best a pair of jacks. I’d throw some chips in the pot on him but don’t reach for him in your draft. He’s been taken in the early second round in some mocks and that’s pretty darn high for a guy who really hasn’t shown all that much the past three years, but if he falls to you in the third or fourth round and you need a potentially solid number two back, I’d go for him and be confident.

The Buffalo Bills dealt running back Willis McGahee to the Ravens this off-season. He has injury concerns, but has been pretty steady in his three years in the NFL. Some thought he may never come back from that devastating injury he suffered in the 2003 Fiesta Bowl, but he has and has been a very consistent and strong runner in the NFL. I’d look for that to continue in Baltimore. He’s definitely a solid number one fantasy running back on a Baltimore Ravens team that should be very good in 2007, led by veteran quarterback Steve McNair, who leads a balanced attack which should keep opposing defenses on their heels almost every game. Buffalo was not a very good offensive team in the three years Willis was with them, and yet McGahee still put up some nice numbers. I see no reason for that not to continue with him in Baltimore, and in fact I think his numbers will improve overall, as he’s going to be the main man there, with no dreaded running-back-by-committee (RBBC) to worry about.

These are just five important running back moves in the NFL so far this off-season. Make sure you stay current with all the moves in the NFL and you will have that much more of an edge on your fantasy football competition!

Other notable RB moves:
Thomas Jones – New York Jets from Chicago
Dominic Rhodes – Oakland from Indianapolis
Ahman Green – Houston from Green Bay

(Source)

Posted in Ahman Green, Dominic Rhodes, Jamal Lewis, Reuben Droughns, Tatum Bell, Thomas Jones, Travis Henry, Uncategorized, Willis McGahee | 1 Comment »

Fantasy Football Excuses

Posted by zewkey on August 14, 2007

No more excuses: Get in the fantasy game

12:44 PM CDT on Friday, August 3, 2007



According to my research, there are two types of NFL fans: Those who revel in the unbridled exhilaration of fantasy football, and those who yearn to but haven’t yet jumped off the cliff. My hope is that this column, like so many others I’ve written in the past, will prompt thousands of people to jump off a cliff.

If you’re already in freefall, then you’re no doubt thrilled to be reading about fantasy football on dallasnews.com now. That can only mean that the interminable off-season is finally over and your draft can’t be far behind! This week’s column won’t help much with your draft prep, but it might convince your reluctant buddy to come over from the dark side.

Yahoo! Fantasy Football – Leader in Fantasy Sports

If you have yet to become a playa (note to editor: please keep this spelling; I’m burnishing my street cred), you must be reading this because a wise friend told you to. He – or possibly she – is tired of your sorry excuses for not sharing his or her fantasy addiction and thinks it’s about time you get with the program.

I couldn’t agree more. While roughly 20 million people obsessed over their fantasy teams in 2006, there’s definitely room for one more. You, dear reader, are the one we want. And we won’t take no for an answer, because we’ve come prepared to refute each of your lame excuses.

Excuse No. 1: “I don’t know how.” For crying out loud, man, just how helpless are you? What did you do the first time you had to assemble your kid’s bike, or program the remote, or bake a quiche? You paid someone else to do it, right? Well, countless Web sites will take your money and give you all the help you need. Or, just keep reading this free column all year and you are guaranteed* all the information necessary to dominate your league. (*Guarantee not valid in leagues comprised of more than one player.)

Excuse No. 2: “I don’t have enough time.” This is the most common excuse, often teamed with the equally inane “I’m too busy.” First of all, some of the busiest, most important people I know regularly volunteer their time to a charity, church or youth group. They prioritize their lives to accommodate their outside interests. If you’re one of them, I salute you. And I ask, isn’t it about time you did something for yourself? After all, if you empty your emotional tank on everyone else, and never pause for a refill, you won’t do anybody any good while broken down on the shoulder of the road of life. (Many thanks to Dr. Phil for consulting on this column.)

Excuse No. 3: Fantasy is for geeks. Them’s fightin’ words, bub. Besides, I haven’t worn a pocket protector in years. And I’m pretty sure you wouldn’t say that to my close personal friends Dan Marino, Boomer Esiason, Phil Simms and Meatloaf, all of whom are noted fantasy players. What’s more, there’s absolutely no evidence to suggest that Bill Gates is a fantasy aficionado.

Excuse No. 4: “I don’t gamble.” No sweat. Find a free league and play for pride. Or, ante up for a paid league and take your downside risk out of the equation by following this column regularly. (See guarantee above.)

Excuse No. 5: “I travel too much.” Unless your mode of transportation is a camel, or your job involves measuring ice floes in Antarctica, this is a terrible excuse. In fact, the more you travel, the more “down time” you have to visit the myriad Web sites that offer fantasy advice, and to read fascinating columns like this one.

Excuse No. 6: “I think you’re a pompous jerk and I wish you’d leave me alone.” This may just be an excuse that only I hear.

Excuse No. 7: “I’m incarcerated.” Sadly, this doesn’t appear to be an obstacle anymore. Just sit back and enjoy all the weekend’s games on your plasma screen, then log on to your favorite fantasy sites from your laptop via the cellblock’s wi-fi access. Insider’s tip: Willie Parker is currently trading at six cartons of Marlboro.

Excuse No. 8: “I only care about my home team.” This is akin to claiming you can only love one child, or one parent, or one spouse. Once you form your fantasy squad, nurture it and spend quality time with it, you’ll find that it doesn’t so much compete with your affection for the Cowboys as it widens your appreciation for the rest of the league. You may even find yourself rooting for a Redskin or two, which isn’t really as distasteful as it sounds.

Excuse No. 9: “I’m not a big football fan.” This is the only excuse with any real merit. After all, you can beg till Pauly Shore makes a good movie and you still won’t get me to play Rotisserie baseball, fantasy NASCAR or, I’m not making this up, fantasy bass fishing. I just don’t care enough about those sports to play the fantasy version. But you don’t get off the hook that easily. If you watch one or more NFL games each weekend, or wish you could, that’s good enough. Here’s a test: It’s all right if you didn’t know that Matt Schaub is Houston’s new quarterback; but if you think that means he’s now an Oiler, you’re probably not ready for some fantasy football.

Excuse No. 10: “I’m a girl.” This is such an offensive, chauvinistic excuse, I won’t even validate it with a reply.

Excuse No. 11: “It interferes with family time.” This objection sounds noble, but it’s often just a smokescreen. For starters, you’d better not be a golfer. Second, though nine out of 10 doctors recommend it, there’s no requirement that you spend 12 consecutive hours in front of the television on Sundays. In fact, since God gave us the miracle of TiVo, you can watch the day’s highlights long after your quality time has morphed into please-just-leave-me-alone time. Meanwhile, you can do your fantasy homework during the week on The Man’s time, since we both know he doesn’t appreciate or pay you enough anyway.

Excuse No. 12: “None of my friends want to play.” Good news: You don’t need friends anymore! You’ve got the Internet, where you’ll find as many faceless leagues as you can imagine. And after all, isn’t the Internet the best place to meet new people?

Excuse No. 13: “I don’t know whom to draft.” That’s the easiest one of all. My first pre-draft column and preseason positional rankings will be online in the NFL area next week.

So, enough with the excuses. Jump already!

(Source)

Posted in Uncategorized | Leave a Comment »

LJ Smith injured

Posted by zewkey on August 9, 2007

L.J. Smith Carted off Practice Field

L.J. Smith, who underwent sports hernia surgery in late May, aggravated the injury yesterday morning at practice and although nobody is commenting on how serious the injury is, it didn’t look good when Smith was carted off the Lehigh practice fields at about 9:30 a.m.
Smith, who has scored 26 touchdowns in four seasons, was running a routine non-contact drill and had just caught a pass from A.J. Feeley down the middle of the field with linebacker Chris Gocong a step back when he crumpled to the ground at the 25-yard-line. Gocong immediately signalled for the trainers and Smith stayed on the ground until being helped off the field.
“There was no contact at all,” Gocong said. “He was in pain. It’s a shame. He looked great up till that point.”

Sportsbook

Smith was taken to the trainer’s tent for an initial exam and then carted back to the Varsity House. Head coach Andy Reid said he didn’t know how serious the injury was.
“He tweaked it,” Reid said. “We’ll see.”
The injury could be a huge blow not only to the Eagles’ offense but to Smith, who is in his contract year and due to become a free ageny this offseason.
Smith underwent sports hernia surgery on May 31 and had just returned to practice a few days ago. He said on Wednesday he was experiencing some soreness but was overall optimistic about his rehab.
Donovan McNabb, who underwent sports hernia surgery late in the 2005 season, said he wasn’t shocked that Smith experienced a setback.
“The doctor would always tell me, ‘Don’t be shocked if you have a setback,’” McNabb said. “You just have to go slow. Some days it feels like everything is healed, but it’s really not. You have to be patient. It’ll get better with time. Patience is everything.”
With Smith on the shelf indefinitely, Matt Schobel and rookie Brent Celek are the top two tight ends in the offensive rotation. Schobel had an uneven first year with the Eagles last year. Celek is a good blocker and a promising receiver but is very inexperienced.
The Eagles open the preseason on Monday with a 7 p.m. game against the Ravens at M&T Stadium in Baltimore. Opening day in Green Bay is just 31 days away.
“Hopefully, it’s just a minor setback,” Schobel said. “He’s a special player and we’re all going to have to pitch in to make sure things keep running smoothly. Going into the season, we knew there was a possibility we would have to get in there (with the first team), so we feel like we’re prepared. But hopefully he’s back out here soon.”

Posted by Reuben Frank at 12:13 pm |

Fantasy Impact: Big Blow for dynasty owners of LJ Smith. He’s been a solid performer at TE, a no brainer starter. I would avoid him in the draft and look elsewhere, you can get equal value with much less risk at this point. But the TE pool just got smaller. Similar TE’s would include Owen Daniels (Hou), Dallas Clark (Ind), Heath Miller (Pit), and Ben Watson (NE).

Posted in Ben Watson, Dallas Clark, Heath Miller, LJ Smith, Owen Daniels, Uncategorized | Leave a Comment »

Fantasy Football Draft Tips

Posted by zewkey on August 9, 2007

Trend-Weaver
Get Me Through the Draft
8/6/07

Every draft is unique in that it has its own surprises, mishaps, value picks, double-picks, and name mispronunciations. Also, in every draft, there are certain trends that go down, creating and diminishing value on different sections of your draft board. Sometimes it’s best to completely ignore the Fantasy dud who starts Round 2 by taking Drew Brees. The same goes for your high school buddy who kicked 42 extra points in a row for your varsity football team – he’s bound to pick a kicker before he has a #3 wide receiver, but that doesn’t mean you should hop on his brakeless radio-flyer wagon-ride into the fantasy doldrums.However, on the other side of the canyon, it’s never too early to pick your backup running back – even if he comes in round 3. The bottom line is, there will always be an instance that should make you think twice about your pre-draft rankings. I’m here to let you know when you should follow your gut, and when you should toss plan-A aside and step on the gas with plan-B. Below, I will discuss 5 trends that will show up on draft day – and advise which way to go when those trends appear.

1. Grab A TE – They’re Almost Gone!

There’s a reason Antonio Gates was picked first amongst the TEs – he’s the best in the league by far (though he’s still drafted too high). However, the run of tight ends leaving the draft board within a couple rounds of Gates have no right getting picked as high as they do. I was recently in a draft where Gate’s was picked with the 12th selection in Round 3. In the next round alone, Jeremy Shockey, Vernon Davis, Todd Heap, and Kellen Winslow came off the board – ahead of guys like Donovan McNabb, Braylon Edwards, Donald Driver, Ladell Betts, Mark Clayton, Phillip Rivers, Jerricho Cotchery, Reggie Brown, and Darrell Jackson (among many other players more deserving than those 5 TEs).

Sportsbook

I would never suggest following the run of TEs, unless they match the projections on your draft board. Especially this year – the TE’s are as deep as ever before. There are 10-15 pass- catching TEs I wouldn’t mind starting, and that includes late-round additions like Marcus Pollard, Jeremy Stevens, Dallas Clark, Ben Watson, Randy McMichael, Jason Witten, or Heath Miller. TEs are like a crappy version of a quarterback. Most leagues only start 12, and after a couple of the top guys, they all score around the same amount of points. But unlike quarterbacks, they don’t score a lot of points. The best TE in the game, Antonio Gates, scored just under 9 points per game in 2006. That compares to the 24th ranked wide receiver (Santana Moss) and the 35th ranked quarterback (Charlie Frye). Even the best TEs score minimal fantasy points.

That leaves you with two choices when the TE Trend-Bus drives by in Round 4 and 5, you can either jump on and overpay for a TE, wait it out and pick a couple starting WRs that will help you win a championship, or be that guy who takes the Chicago Bears defense. His story is spelled out below.

2. I Hear Defenses Win Championships:

This is where you’re wrong – defense wins championships, defenses don’t. Yes, Cornell grad, there is a difference. See, in the NFL, defense wins championships. If you can stop the other team, more often than not, you will win the game. In Fantasy Football there is no such thing as defense. There are defenses, and like WRs, QBs, and RBs, in this league, defenses score points they don’t prevent them. They don’t stop anyone from doing anything. The Ravens could score 30 fantasy points, but that won’t keep LT from putting up 36 against the Chiefs. You get me?

I'll take Chicago-D in Round 5, thank you!Mike Ditka doesn’t win fantasy leagues because he takes his vaunted Bears (not even the best defense last year) in Round 5. Ditka does it every year before he picks a back-up receiver, running back, or quarterback. My favorite draft day partner makes the plunge into the defensive forefront. The problem is, this guy only begins the trend that is about to sweep your draft. The Top 4 or 5 defenses will be taken in the next few rounds. Stay out of that trend gutter.

I won a league last year rotating defenses using my league’s waiver wire based on the best match-up on any given Sunday. You may never get your hands on a Top 5 defense, but your own defense’s (defense of the week that is…) performance might very well be better than anyone else’s week to week. The Titans, Packers, Raiders, and Cardinals hung out on waiver wires all year long in 2006, and each team had huge weeks that took me to the Championship.

Get your stud position players when your league’s donkeys are going Ditka’s route and ignore Mike’s attempt to litter the draft with his early evacuation. Although he’s doing an admirable job of taking the player’s association to task about their approach to help retired players, remember this guy is hawking erection medication. If you go Ditka’s route with a defense, your starting roster might need a prescription because it’s going to look flaccid.

3. Back To Stacking Backs – 3rd Stringers In Round 3:

In this case, be the guy who starts this trend. Chances are, if you make the right move at the right time “You’ll be mine,” err… I mean you’ll get your 3rd string running back before a couple teams get their 2nd stringer. That’s a move worth making. Be bold, start the trend.

They may make fun of you now – “Haha… He’s stacking backs, we’re three rounds deep and that’s all he has. You can only start 2 you know.” But they won’t be making fun of you later when you have 3 options every week while they are stuck starting Ahman Green and DeShaun Foster. Yes, it’s a magical thing, really – if you take three backs before other owners take two, you will limit their options at the position, and they will have to start 3rd stringers.

I hear you saying, “But what about getting good receivers?” Don’t worry there are plenty of those. Receivers are known for their depth and new breakout players emerge year after year. In every draft there will be 3 or 4 WRs selected in the bottom 7 rounds that breakout and become Top 20 receivers. The bottom line is, there are always WR options on the waiver wire while running backs are a rarity.

Be a trend starter, it is always best to start a trend rather than follow one. In this case, its good to start, follow, anything to get multiple solid running back options.

4. QB Drought – 12 Teams And Only 32 Starters:

Whatever will you do with numbers like that? If every team picks 3 quarterbacks, you won’t get two starters… Oh, no!

The Best QB In Fantasy FootballThere are two types of quarterback trends that you don’t want to be a part of.

  1. The AP Trend: The after Peyton trend. This trend initiates a string of 4 or 5 quarterbacks that starts as soon as someone picks the 2nd quarterback off the board. AP is a bad time to grab a quarterback. Usually, about 10 picks after Manning, Drew Brees, Carson Palmer, or Tom Brady gets selected. And then, just like your first time, the floodgates open. Drew, Carson, Brady, Bulger, and Donovan McNabb get plucked as scared owners start to worry that they will be stuck with Seneca Wallace and Chris Simms. They just can’t pick them faster – exhaling with sweat on their brows when they get one of the elites.Hey buddy, calm down, there are 30 starting quarterbacks in the NFL (I’m not including the Vikings, and Browns – as whoever starts there is really a backup in a bad situation). Thirty – that means there’s enough for your 10-team league to each have three. That won’t happen, but the bottom line is, there are plenty to go around. Wait it out – I promise, you’ll be happy about it later.
  2. The Middle Vanilla Trend (not to be confused with Milli Vanilli): These quarterbacks posing as top fantasy producers might as well be linked with the lip-syncing duo. After the initial rush of quarterbacks ranked 2-6, the next tier begins with either some young and over-hyped guy, or a guy getting love from fantasy magazines everywhere. Vince Young has been that guy lately. After Vince, things get crazy and a run of the young QBs and middle of the road veterans begins. In the blink of an eye, Leinart and Cutler will be gone, then Eli Manning, maybe Tony Romo, and in some extreme cases, Matt Schaub. Well, thank you very much trendy Middle Vanilla, but I’ll happily grab Hines Ward, Santana Moss, Braylon Edwards, or Reggie Brown while you jump on the average quarterback bandwagon.

The philosophy is simple, unless you get a great deal on one of the top guys (Palmer, Brady, Manning, McNabb, Brees, or Bulger) don’t do your self a disservice by picking them. And unless one of the Middle Vanilla guys tumbles down to the later half of the draft, just wait it out and take the best guy after the rush is over. You’ll still easily get a couple starter worthy guys like Jake Delhomme, Ben Roethlisberger, Phillip Rivers (if you’re lucky), Jason Campbell, JP Losman, Alex Smith, Chad Pennington, or Rex Grossman. Yes, or Rex Grossman. The thing is, after the first 5 or 6 guys, the rest of the guys are too even to pass up on quality RBs and WRs.

5. When To Trend; Don’t Shed A Tier:

Tiers are the best way to make sure you know when to follow trends and more importantly, when to leave them the hell alone. All of the trends I listed above could be altered based on who’s left on certain tiers of your draft board. For quarterbacks, there are 3 tiers, Top 5 or 6, the middle 20, and the last group you want nothing to do with. So, if you’re getting toward the middle of your draft, and one of the Top 6 is there for the taking, grab McNabb or Bulger, sure. If the middle run is over, you have quality backups all around, don’t feel hesitant to take the top rated guy on your list. And if all the quarterbacks are going off the board, don’t be stuck with the guys in the bottom tier.

Sometimes, you have to assess the way the draft is panning out, and if there are 15 quarterbacks off the board in Round 7, you better reach out and grab #16… That’s just what makes the most sense – remember value can always change. That’s why a great Fantasy Football list won’t guarantee you a playoff spot in your league. Because just like that, a couple moves can alter the lay of your rankings.

Tiers should also be made for running backs and wide receivers – WRs come in 4 groups, (Studs, #2s, Possible Starters, and Blah) and in your draft you should try to get at least 3 of the first two groups, and as many of the possible starters as you can. Blah doesn’t mean they’re bad, and Possible Starters doesn’t mean they’re good. Blah means they will never be an option you rely on to be a quality scorer. They might outscore some of the 3rd tier players, but the 3rd tier players are those that have enough upside to become starters. Blah will never be a starter.

The same can be said for running backs.

Go in and make tiers, or copy down the lists at FFToday, because tiers help a drafter more than a Top 200 ranking list. Drafts are always different, that’s what makes them great, but don’t expect to get the 36th-ranked guy on your list with the 36th pick. Use draft gumption and understanding to chose when its best to follow the trends – and don’t be afraid to be a trend starter – often times those who take the biggest chances get the most reward.

Bryan Weimer, AKA—Lucky Lester—is the owner of LuckyLester.com, a sports site devoted to everything football from NFL picks and team previews to the hard facts and your fantasy reality.

Posted in Drafting, Fantasy Draft, Fantasy Football, Uncategorized | Leave a Comment »

Hello world!

Posted by zewkey on August 8, 2007

Welcome to WordPress.com. This is your first post. Edit or delete it and start blogging!

Posted in Uncategorized | 1 Comment »